We help the world growing since we created.

Menene zai faru da kasuwar karafa ta kasar Sin karkashin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya?

Hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya a halin yanzu yana da yawa, kuma da wuya a kawo karshensa cikin kankanin lokaci, wanda zai kasance yanayi mafi girma a waje da kasuwar karafa ta kasar Sin za ta fuskanta nan gaba.Yayin da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki mai tsanani zai kawo cikas ga bukatar karafa a duniya, hakan kuma zai samar da damammaki ga kasuwannin karafa na kasar Sin.Na farko, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya zai kasance mafi girman yanayin tattalin arzikin waje da kasuwar karafa ta kasar Sin ke fuskanta a nan gaba.
Halin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya yana da muni.Dangane da bayanan da bankin duniya da sauran cibiyoyi da kungiyoyi suka fitar, ana sa ran hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya zai kai kusan kashi 8% a shekarar 2022, kusan kashi 4 cikin dari fiye da na bara.A shekarar 2022, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a kasashen da suka ci gaba ya kusan kusan kashi 7%, mafi girma tun 1982. Hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a kasuwanni masu tasowa na iya kaiwa kashi 10 cikin 100, mafi girma tun daga shekarar 2008. A halin yanzu, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya bai nuna alamun raguwa ba har ma zai iya yin rauni. kara muni saboda abubuwa da dama.Kwanan nan, Powell, shugaban babban bankin tarayya, da Lagarde, shugabar babban bankin Turai, sun yarda cewa sabon zamani na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki yana zuwa, kuma maiyuwa ba zai dawo cikin yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na baya ba.Ana iya ganin cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya zai kasance mafi girman yanayin tattalin arziki na waje da kasuwar karafa ta kasar Sin za ta fuskanta a nan gaba.
Na biyu, mummunan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya, zai raunana jimillar bukatar karfe
Babu shakka hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya zai yi babban tasiri ga ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya, wanda ke haifar da hadarin koma bayan tattalin arzikin duniya.Bankin Duniya da sauran cibiyoyi da kungiyoyi sun yi hasashen cewa, karuwar tattalin arzikin duniya a shekarar 2022 zai kasance kashi 2.9 cikin dari ne kacal, wanda kashi 2.8 ya yi kasa da na bara da kashi 5.7 cikin dari.Yawan ci gaban kasashen da suka ci gaba ya fadi da kashi 1.2 cikin dari sannan na tattalin arzikin kasuwanni masu tasowa da kashi 3.5 cikin dari.Ba wannan kadai ba, ana sa ran ci gaban duniya zai fadi a cikin shekaru masu zuwa, inda tattalin arzikin Amurka ya fadi zuwa kashi 2.5% a shekarar 2022 (daga kashi 5.7% a shekarar 2021), da kashi 1.2% a shekarar 2023, kuma watakila kasa da kashi 1% a shekarar 2024.
Ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya ya ragu sosai, har ma za a iya samun koma bayan tattalin arziki mai cike da rudani, wanda ba shakka yana raunana bukatar karafa gaba daya.Ba wannan kadai ba, farashin yana ci gaba da hauhawa, har ma yana sanya kudaden shiga na kasa ya ragu, ya kuma dakile bukatar masu amfani da su.A wannan yanayin, karafa da kasar Sin ke fitarwa zuwa kasashen waje, musamman ma fitar da karafa a kaikaice, wanda ya fi yawan kayayyakin da ake fitarwa zuwa kasashen waje zai shafi.
A sa'i daya kuma, tabarbarewar yanayin bukatu na waje, zai kuma zaburar da matakin yanke shawara na kasar Sin na yin gyare-gyaren gyare-gyare, da kara fadada bukatun cikin gida, don tabbatar da bunkasuwar bukatu gaba daya a sararin samaniya, ta yadda bukatar karafa ta kasar Sin za ta kasance. zama mafi dogaro da buƙatun cikin gida, jimillar buƙatar ƙarfe za ta fi fitowa fili.
Na uku, mummunan yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya, zai kuma samar da damammakin kasuwar karafa ta kasar Sin
Har ila yau, dole ne a yi nuni da cewa, halin da ake ciki mai tsanani na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya, ga yawan bukatar karafa na kasar Sin, ba dukkan abubuwa ba ne mara kyau ba, akwai kuma damar kasuwa.A kan bincike na farko, akwai aƙalla dama guda biyu.
Na farko, mai yiyuwa ne Amurka ta rage harajin shigo da kaya kan kayayyakin kasar Sin.Jigon hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya a yau ita ce Amurka.Haɓakar farashin kayan masarufi ba zato ba tsammani ya ƙaru zuwa sama da shekaru 40 na kashi 8.6 cikin ɗari a watan Mayu.Masana tattalin arziki sun yi gargadin cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Amurka zai kara karuwa, mai yiwuwa zuwa kashi 9 cikin dari.Wani muhimmin al'amari da ya biyo bayan ci gaba da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Amurka ya ta'allaka ne a lokacin da gwamnatin Amurka ke adawa da tsarin duniya, wanda ya sanya haraji mai yawa kan kayayyakin kasar Sin, wanda ya kara tsadar shigo da kayayyaki.Don haka, a halin yanzu gwamnatin Biden na kokarin yin kwaskwarima ga sashe na 301 na haraji kan kayayyakin kasar Sin, da kuma hanyoyin kebe wadannan kudaden haraji kan wasu kayayyaki, a kokarin kawar da wasu daga cikin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.Wannan wani cikas ne da ba za a iya gujewa ba ga Amurka don shawo kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.Idan aka rage wasu harajin da ake fitarwa zuwa Amurka, a bisa dabi'a za ta amfana da karafan da kasar Sin ke fitarwa, musamman karafa a kaikaice.
Na biyu, an karfafa tasirin sauya kayayyakin kasar Sin.A duniya a yau, kayayyaki masu arha da inganci galibi daga kasar Sin ne, a daya bangaren, saboda yanayin annobar cutar a kasar Sin ya samu sauki sosai, kuma tsarin samar da kayayyaki na kasar Sin ya fi aminci.A gefe guda kuma, sarƙoƙin samar da kayayyaki a mafi yawan sassan duniya ya yi tasiri sosai sakamakon barkewar cutar da yaƙi tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine.Karancin wadatar kuma shine babban abin da ke shafar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, wanda ke kara karfafa tasirin sauya kayayyakin kasar Sin a kasuwannin duniya, wanda ya fi dacewa da gudanar da ayyukan masana'antun kasar Sin.Don haka ne ma kayayyakin da kasar Sin ke fitarwa, ciki har da karafa a kaikaice, ya kasance mai juriya, duk da kara tabarbarewar yanayin waje a bana.Misali, a cikin watan Mayun bana, jimilar kayayyakin da ake shigowa da su kasar Sin da ke kasashen waje sun karu da kashi 9.6 bisa dari a duk shekara da kashi 9.2 bisa dari a duk wata.Musamman shigo da kaya da fitar da kogin Yangtze na yankin Delta ya karu da kusan kashi 20 cikin 100 duk wata idan aka kwatanta da watan Afrilu, kuma shigo da kayayyaki na Shanghai da sauran yankuna ya farfado sosai.A cikin fitar da kayayyaki, darajar kayayyakin inji da na lantarki zuwa ketare ya karu da kashi 7% a duk shekara a cikin watanni biyar na farkon wannan shekara, wanda ya kai kashi 57.2% na adadin kudin da ake fitarwa zuwa kasashen waje.Fitar da motoci ya kai yuan biliyan 119.05, wanda ya karu da kashi 57.6%.Bugu da kari, bisa kididdigar da aka yi, a cikin watanni biyar na farko na tallace-tallacen hako na kasa ya fadi da kashi 39.1% a duk shekara, amma yawan fitar da kayayyaki ya karu da kashi 75.7 cikin dari a shekara.Dukkanin wadannan sun nuna cewa, karafa da kasar Sin ke fitarwa a kaikaice na ci gaba da yin karfi, fiye da yadda ake tsammani, yayin da bukatun duniya ke kara karuwa sakamakon hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a duniya.Ana sa ran cewa, yayin da farashin duniya ke ci gaba da yin tsada, ko ma kara karuwa, dogaro da dukkan kasashen duniya, musamman kasashen Turai da Amurka, kan kayayyakin kasar Sin da suka hada da injina da na lantarki zai kara karfi.Hakan kuma zai sanya karafa da kasar Sin ke fitarwa zuwa kasashen waje, musamman ma kayayyakin da take fitarwa a kaikaice, su zama masu juriya, har ma da inganci.


Lokacin aikawa: Jul-14-2022